Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a high near 32°C in Madrid on September 21 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement, with afternoon maxima expected around 31–32°C after morning lows near 18°C, consistent with late-summer patterns but above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date. Recent observations confirm dry conditions and gradual warming without heatwave intensity, reducing odds of 33°C or higher while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily maximum measurement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
32°C 54%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
30°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
54%
33°C
22%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 54%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
30°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
2%
28°C
$0 Обс.
2%
29°C
$0 Обс.
4%
30°C
$0 Обс.
6%
31°C
$0 Обс.
16%
32°C
$241 Обс.
54%
33°C
$0 Обс.
22%
34°C
$0 Обс.
3%
35°C
$0 Обс.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a high near 32°C in Madrid on September 21 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement, with afternoon maxima expected around 31–32°C after morning lows near 18°C, consistent with late-summer patterns but above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date. Recent observations confirm dry conditions and gradual warming without heatwave intensity, reducing odds of 33°C or higher while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily maximum measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$241Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a high near 32°C in Madrid on September 21 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement, with afternoon maxima expected around 31–32°C after morning lows near 18°C, consistent with late-summer patterns but above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date. Recent observations confirm dry conditions and gradual warming without heatwave intensity, reducing odds of 33°C or higher while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily maximum measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$241Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a high near 32°C in Madrid on September 21 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement, with afternoon maxima expected around 31–32°C after morning lows near 18°C, consistent with late-summer patterns but above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date. Recent observations confirm dry conditions and gradual warming without heatwave intensity, reducing odds of 33°C or higher while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily maximum measurement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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