Marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring Los Angeles temperatures near seasonal norms on August 6, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a high around 78°F at coastal stations like LAX. Persistent morning low clouds and patchy fog have delayed surface heating, while light southwest winds limit inland warming despite a broader regional pattern of above-average warmth. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin (57.5% implied probability) over slightly cooler or warmer brackets, consistent with climatological August averages near 84°F but tempered by current synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 6?
78-79°F 57%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 8%
74-75°F 3%
$30,145 Обс.
$30,145 Обс.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
57%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 57%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 8%
74-75°F 3%
$30,145 Обс.
$30,145 Обс.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
57%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring Los Angeles temperatures near seasonal norms on August 6, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a high around 78°F at coastal stations like LAX. Persistent morning low clouds and patchy fog have delayed surface heating, while light southwest winds limit inland warming despite a broader regional pattern of above-average warmth. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin (57.5% implied probability) over slightly cooler or warmer brackets, consistent with climatological August averages near 84°F but tempered by current synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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