Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and a stable pressure pattern that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This positions 23°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near that threshold. Minor model spread around coastal versus inland sites supports the secondary 22°C outcome, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low absent stronger insolation or southerly flow. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the latest Met Office briefing and historical September variability near 20–22°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 11?
Highest temperature in London on September 11?
23°C 59%
22°C 33%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
НОВЕ
$18,356 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,356 Обс.
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
33%
23°C
59%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 59%
22°C 33%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
НОВЕ
$18,356 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,356 Обс.
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$110 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$197 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$218 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$704 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$912 Обс.
1%
21°C
$3,264 Обс.
5%
22°C
$4,181 Обс.
33%
23°C
$4,676 Обс.
59%
24°C
$1,552 Обс.
6%
25°C
$1,160 Обс.
2%
26°C or higher
$1,381 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and a stable pressure pattern that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This positions 23°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near that threshold. Minor model spread around coastal versus inland sites supports the secondary 22°C outcome, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low absent stronger insolation or southerly flow. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the latest Met Office briefing and historical September variability near 20–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,356Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and a stable pressure pattern that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This positions 23°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near that threshold. Minor model spread around coastal versus inland sites supports the secondary 22°C outcome, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low absent stronger insolation or southerly flow. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the latest Met Office briefing and historical September variability near 20–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,356Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and a stable pressure pattern that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This positions 23°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near that threshold. Minor model spread around coastal versus inland sites supports the secondary 22°C outcome, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low absent stronger insolation or southerly flow. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the latest Met Office briefing and historical September variability near 20–22°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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