Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Ankara daytime maxima on August 3 will likely peak in the 33–35°C range, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across central Anatolia that limits cloud cover and supports strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (21%) outcomes while placing 32°C at 18.5%. Early August climatology averages 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Model consensus has tightened over the past week as shorter-range runs converge, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 3?
33°C 47%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
19%
33°C
47%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$26 Обс.
4%
31°C
$0 Обс.
12%
32°C
$39 Обс.
19%
33°C
$47 Обс.
47%
34°C
$0 Обс.
22%
35°C
$0 Обс.
4%
36°C
$21 Обс.
2%
37°C
$20 Обс.
2%
38°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Ankara daytime maxima on August 3 will likely peak in the 33–35°C range, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across central Anatolia that limits cloud cover and supports strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (21%) outcomes while placing 32°C at 18.5%. Early August climatology averages 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Model consensus has tightened over the past week as shorter-range runs converge, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$163Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Ankara daytime maxima on August 3 will likely peak in the 33–35°C range, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across central Anatolia that limits cloud cover and supports strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (21%) outcomes while placing 32°C at 18.5%. Early August climatology averages 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Model consensus has tightened over the past week as shorter-range runs converge, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$163Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Ankara daytime maxima on August 3 will likely peak in the 33–35°C range, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across central Anatolia that limits cloud cover and supports strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (21%) outcomes while placing 32°C at 18.5%. Early August climatology averages 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Model consensus has tightened over the past week as shorter-range runs converge, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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