Recent forecasts for the August 2026 CPI highlight a rebound in headline inflation to around 0.3–0.4% month-over-month, driven primarily by higher gasoline prices after prior declines and firmer food and shelter components, following July’s +0.1% print and +0.2% core reading. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this consensus, with 0.4% commanding the highest implied probability amid persistent services momentum and shelter acceleration, while core measures are projected near 0.24%. Lingering pressures from tariffs, AI-related demand, and wage growth continue to support underlying inflation above the Fed’s target, even as energy shocks from earlier geopolitical events ease. The August report, due September 11, will provide the final data point before the September FOMC meeting and could shift rate expectations if readings exceed or fall short of these levels.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.4% 47%
0.3% 27%
≥0.5% 14%
0.2% 6%
$29,737 Обс.
$29,737 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
27%
0.4%
47%
≥0.5%
14%
0.4% 47%
0.3% 27%
≥0.5% 14%
0.2% 6%
$29,737 Обс.
$29,737 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
$1,034 Обс.
<1%
-0.2%
$618 Обс.
<1%
-0.1%
$799 Обс.
<1%
0.0%
$1,170 Обс.
1%
0.1%
$999 Обс.
1%
0.2%
$1,539 Обс.
6%
0.3%
$3,449 Обс.
27%
0.4%
$8,787 Обс.
47%
≥0.5%
$11,343 Обс.
14%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent forecasts for the August 2026 CPI highlight a rebound in headline inflation to around 0.3–0.4% month-over-month, driven primarily by higher gasoline prices after prior declines and firmer food and shelter components, following July’s +0.1% print and +0.2% core reading. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this consensus, with 0.4% commanding the highest implied probability amid persistent services momentum and shelter acceleration, while core measures are projected near 0.24%. Lingering pressures from tariffs, AI-related demand, and wage growth continue to support underlying inflation above the Fed’s target, even as energy shocks from earlier geopolitical events ease. The August report, due September 11, will provide the final data point before the September FOMC meeting and could shift rate expectations if readings exceed or fall short of these levels.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,737Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent forecasts for the August 2026 CPI highlight a rebound in headline inflation to around 0.3–0.4% month-over-month, driven primarily by higher gasoline prices after prior declines and firmer food and shelter components, following July’s +0.1% print and +0.2% core reading. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this consensus, with 0.4% commanding the highest implied probability amid persistent services momentum and shelter acceleration, while core measures are projected near 0.24%. Lingering pressures from tariffs, AI-related demand, and wage growth continue to support underlying inflation above the Fed’s target, even as energy shocks from earlier geopolitical events ease. The August report, due September 11, will provide the final data point before the September FOMC meeting and could shift rate expectations if readings exceed or fall short of these levels.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$29,737Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for the August 2026 CPI highlight a rebound in headline inflation to around 0.3–0.4% month-over-month, driven primarily by higher gasoline prices after prior declines and firmer food and shelter components, following July’s +0.1% print and +0.2% core reading. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this consensus, with 0.4% commanding the highest implied probability amid persistent services momentum and shelter acceleration, while core measures are projected near 0.24%. Lingering pressures from tariffs, AI-related demand, and wage growth continue to support underlying inflation above the Fed’s target, even as energy shocks from earlier geopolitical events ease. The August report, due September 11, will provide the final data point before the September FOMC meeting and could shift rate expectations if readings exceed or fall short of these levels.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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