Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 and the smallest calf crop since 1941, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices. Retail averages reached $6.83 per pound through June 2026 after a 19% year-over-year rise into late 2025, supported by USDA projections for additional wholesale price gains of around 7% amid resilient demand and limited herd rebuilding until at least 2027. Seasonal wholesale fluctuations in August reflect near-term factors, yet the multi-year supply deficit continues to underpin market-implied odds for sustained or higher price thresholds through year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$21,296 Vol.
$7.000+
44%
$8.000+
37%
$9.000+
33%
$10.000+
25%
$21,296 Vol.
$7.000+
44%
$8.000+
37%
$9.000+
33%
$10.000+
25%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 and the smallest calf crop since 1941, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices. Retail averages reached $6.83 per pound through June 2026 after a 19% year-over-year rise into late 2025, supported by USDA projections for additional wholesale price gains of around 7% amid resilient demand and limited herd rebuilding until at least 2027. Seasonal wholesale fluctuations in August reflect near-term factors, yet the multi-year supply deficit continues to underpin market-implied odds for sustained or higher price thresholds through year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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