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Ekonomiya·Makro

Bank of Russia decision in October?

icon for Bank of Russia decision in October?
Ekonomiya·Makro

Bank of Russia decision in October?

Oct 23

Oct 23

No Change 55%

Decrease 43%

Increase 3.9%

Polymarket

$17,209 Vol.

No Change 55%

Decrease 43%

Increase 3.9%

Polymarket

$17,209 Vol.

Decrease

$5,574 Vol.

43%

No Change

$4,962 Vol.

55%

Increase

$6,674 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Recent data show Russia's annual inflation rising to 6.3% in August amid elevated fuel and transport costs from supply disruptions, while underlying price pressures accelerated to a 5–6% annualized pace. The Bank of Russia responded by holding its key rate steady at 14% on September 11 after ten straight cuts, citing increased price pressures, moderate third-quarter growth, and risks from fiscal expansion. Officials expect full-year inflation of 6–7% before returning to the 4% target in 2027. Traders assign a slim majority probability to no change at the October 23 meeting, reflecting caution over these pro-inflationary factors, while a near-even chance remains for a modest cut if growth concerns intensify and temporary supply shocks ease. An increase appears remote given the established easing trajectory and official signals favoring measured policy.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volume
$17,209
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Recent data show Russia's annual inflation rising to 6.3% in August amid elevated fuel and transport costs from supply disruptions, while underlying price pressures accelerated to a 5–6% annualized pace. The Bank of Russia responded by holding its key rate steady at 14% on September 11 after ten straight cuts, citing increased price pressures, moderate third-quarter growth, and risks from fiscal expansion. Officials expect full-year inflation of 6–7% before returning to the 4% target in 2027. Traders assign a slim majority probability to no change at the October 23 meeting, reflecting caution over these pro-inflationary factors, while a near-even chance remains for a modest cut if growth concerns intensify and temporary supply shocks ease. An increase appears remote given the established easing trajectory and official signals favoring measured policy.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volume
$17,209
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Bank of Russia decision in October?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "No Change" sa 55%, sinusundan ng "Decrease" sa 43%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 55¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 55% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Bank of Russia decision in October?" ay naka-generate ng $17.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 24, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Bank of Russia decision in October?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Bank of Russia decision in October?" ay "No Change" sa 55%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 55% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Decrease" sa 43%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Bank of Russia decision in October?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.