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Heopolitika·Ukraine

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Heopolitika·Ukraine

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

$398,896 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$398,896 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Steve Witkoff

Steve Witkoff

$23,537 Vol.

100%

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Jared Kushner

$30,122 Vol.

100%

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Donald Tusk

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68%

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Ursula von der Leyen

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Friedrich Merz

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Mark Rutte

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Emmanuel Macron

$7,102 Vol.

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Mark Carney

$11,484 Vol.

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António Guterres

$9,100 Vol.

16%

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JD Vance

$72,443 Vol.

7%

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Donald Trump

$108,875 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are scheduled to arrive in Kyiv on September 6, 2026, following talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin, boosting their implied probabilities to the mid-90s on Polymarket as traders price in the confirmed diplomatic mission tied to ceasefire efforts.** European Council President António Costa and UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham visited in late August for Ukraine’s Independence Day events alongside other EU and Nordic-Baltic leaders, supporting high odds for figures like Costa and Donald Tusk. No senior US officials have visited since the war began, and markets assign low single-digit chances to President Trump or Vice President JD Vance through year-end amid focus on remote negotiations. Ongoing Coalition of the Willing coordination and air-defense discussions keep European engagement elevated, while scheduled multilateral summits offer additional visit windows before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$398,896
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are scheduled to arrive in Kyiv on September 6, 2026, following talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin, boosting their implied probabilities to the mid-90s on Polymarket as traders price in the confirmed diplomatic mission tied to ceasefire efforts.** European Council President António Costa and UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham visited in late August for Ukraine’s Independence Day events alongside other EU and Nordic-Baltic leaders, supporting high odds for figures like Costa and Donald Tusk. No senior US officials have visited since the war began, and markets assign low single-digit chances to President Trump or Vice President JD Vance through year-end amid focus on remote negotiations. Ongoing Coalition of the Willing coordination and air-defense discussions keep European engagement elevated, while scheduled multilateral summits offer additional visit windows before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$398,896
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Steve Witkoff" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Jared Kushner" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" ay naka-generate ng $398.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 29, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" ay "Steve Witkoff" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jared Kushner" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.