Recent developments show stalled momentum for a Trump-Putin summit following their August 2025 Alaska meeting, with the diplomatic initiative to end the Ukraine conflict having largely dissipated amid escalating hostilities, Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian territory, and mutual recriminations over territory and ceasefires. Phone contacts resumed in July 2026, yet no in-person plans have materialized, and broader U.S.-Russia tensions, including NATO strains, have reduced prospects for near-term bilateral engagement. Traders price a 60% chance of no 2026 meeting by year-end on this lack of scheduled diplomacy and procedural barriers, while the 35% on China reflects speculation around neutral third-country venues amid limited alternatives. Low probabilities on the United States or other sites align with historical precedent favoring distant or multilateral locations for sensitive leader-level talks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 60%
China 35%
United States 3.6%
Other <1%
$498,369 Vol.
$498,369 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
60%

China
35%

United States
4%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Other EU country
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 60%
China 35%
United States 3.6%
Other <1%
$498,369 Vol.
$498,369 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
60%

China
35%

United States
4%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Other EU country
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments show stalled momentum for a Trump-Putin summit following their August 2025 Alaska meeting, with the diplomatic initiative to end the Ukraine conflict having largely dissipated amid escalating hostilities, Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian territory, and mutual recriminations over territory and ceasefires. Phone contacts resumed in July 2026, yet no in-person plans have materialized, and broader U.S.-Russia tensions, including NATO strains, have reduced prospects for near-term bilateral engagement. Traders price a 60% chance of no 2026 meeting by year-end on this lack of scheduled diplomacy and procedural barriers, while the 35% on China reflects speculation around neutral third-country venues amid limited alternatives. Low probabilities on the United States or other sites align with historical precedent favoring distant or multilateral locations for sensitive leader-level talks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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