US-Russian mediated talks resumed in early September 2026 with envoys meeting Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, producing a limited three-day pause in strikes on Kyiv but no broader ceasefire or agreement on core issues. Russia continues to demand Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas it does not control, plus formal recognition of annexed territories and limits on Ukrainian forces and NATO alignment—positions Ukraine rejects as unacceptable red lines. Earlier 2026 trilateral sessions yielded prisoner exchanges yet stalled on territorial and security guarantees. With full negotiations now slated for late September after Russian parliamentary elections and major gaps persisting, traders see little prospect of a signed comprehensive peace deal materializing by the October 31 deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update7% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 31, 2026
7% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Russian mediated talks resumed in early September 2026 with envoys meeting Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, producing a limited three-day pause in strikes on Kyiv but no broader ceasefire or agreement on core issues. Russia continues to demand Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas it does not control, plus formal recognition of annexed territories and limits on Ukrainian forces and NATO alignment—positions Ukraine rejects as unacceptable red lines. Earlier 2026 trilateral sessions yielded prisoner exchanges yet stalled on territorial and security guarantees. With full negotiations now slated for late September after Russian parliamentary elections and major gaps persisting, traders see little prospect of a signed comprehensive peace deal materializing by the October 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$8,863Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 26, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Russian mediated talks resumed in early September 2026 with envoys meeting Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, producing a limited three-day pause in strikes on Kyiv but no broader ceasefire or agreement on core issues. Russia continues to demand Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas it does not control, plus formal recognition of annexed territories and limits on Ukrainian forces and NATO alignment—positions Ukraine rejects as unacceptable red lines. Earlier 2026 trilateral sessions yielded prisoner exchanges yet stalled on territorial and security guarantees. With full negotiations now slated for late September after Russian parliamentary elections and major gaps persisting, traders see little prospect of a signed comprehensive peace deal materializing by the October 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,863Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 26, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Russian mediated talks resumed in early September 2026 with envoys meeting Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, producing a limited three-day pause in strikes on Kyiv but no broader ceasefire or agreement on core issues. Russia continues to demand Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas it does not control, plus formal recognition of annexed territories and limits on Ukrainian forces and NATO alignment—positions Ukraine rejects as unacceptable red lines. Earlier 2026 trilateral sessions yielded prisoner exchanges yet stalled on territorial and security guarantees. With full negotiations now slated for late September after Russian parliamentary elections and major gaps persisting, traders see little prospect of a signed comprehensive peace deal materializing by the October 31 deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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