The structural requirements of the 25th Amendment—initiation by the vice president and a majority of the Cabinet, followed by potential congressional override—create significant procedural and political barriers in the current administration. With the vice president and Cabinet aligned with the president, and Republican majorities in Congress, traders see little realistic path to removal before 2027 absent a sudden, verifiable incapacity or broad institutional revolt. Historical precedent shows the amendment has never been used to remove an elected president, reinforcing the market's 97% implied probability for "No." Late-breaking developments such as a documented health crisis, major scandal eroding Cabinet loyalty, or unexpected shifts in congressional support remain the primary variables that could still alter this consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3% tsansa
$49,110 Vol.
$49,110 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% tsansa
$49,110 Vol.
$49,110 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The structural requirements of the 25th Amendment—initiation by the vice president and a majority of the Cabinet, followed by potential congressional override—create significant procedural and political barriers in the current administration. With the vice president and Cabinet aligned with the president, and Republican majorities in Congress, traders see little realistic path to removal before 2027 absent a sudden, verifiable incapacity or broad institutional revolt. Historical precedent shows the amendment has never been used to remove an elected president, reinforcing the market's 97% implied probability for "No." Late-breaking developments such as a documented health crisis, major scandal eroding Cabinet loyalty, or unexpected shifts in congressional support remain the primary variables that could still alter this consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$49,110Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The structural requirements of the 25th Amendment—initiation by the vice president and a majority of the Cabinet, followed by potential congressional override—create significant procedural and political barriers in the current administration. With the vice president and Cabinet aligned with the president, and Republican majorities in Congress, traders see little realistic path to removal before 2027 absent a sudden, verifiable incapacity or broad institutional revolt. Historical precedent shows the amendment has never been used to remove an elected president, reinforcing the market's 97% implied probability for "No." Late-breaking developments such as a documented health crisis, major scandal eroding Cabinet loyalty, or unexpected shifts in congressional support remain the primary variables that could still alter this consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Volume
$49,110Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The structural requirements of the 25th Amendment—initiation by the vice president and a majority of the Cabinet, followed by potential congressional override—create significant procedural and political barriers in the current administration. With the vice president and Cabinet aligned with the president, and Republican majorities in Congress, traders see little realistic path to removal before 2027 absent a sudden, verifiable incapacity or broad institutional revolt. Historical precedent shows the amendment has never been used to remove an elected president, reinforcing the market's 97% implied probability for "No." Late-breaking developments such as a documented health crisis, major scandal eroding Cabinet loyalty, or unexpected shifts in congressional support remain the primary variables that could still alter this consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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