**Recent activity on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market favorite for Elon Musk’s output over August 20-22, 2026.** Polymarket traders have priced this bucket at 46% implied probability, ahead of sub-40 tweets (33%), reflecting Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 24-26 posts per day in mid-August tracking data. Weekends often see moderated volume compared with weekdays, supporting the narrower 13-21 daily average that lands in the leading bin. Higher ranges above 65 tweets carry sharply lower odds (20% and below) because sustained bursts near his 2025 peaks of 60+ daily posts have not materialized in the latest windows. No major product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies are scheduled for the period that would likely trigger elevated engagement, keeping the distribution centered on routine activity. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent multi-day samples heavily, where totals have clustered in the mid-range rather than extreme tails.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
40-64 46%
<40 33.0%
65-89 20%
90-114 3.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
<40
33%
40-64
46%
65-89
20%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 46%
<40 33.0%
65-89 20%
90-114 3.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
<40
$323 Vol.
33%
40-64
$120 Vol.
46%
65-89
$71 Vol.
20%
90-114
$0 Vol.
4%
115-139
$676 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,577 Vol.
1%
165-189
$3,141 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$620 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$120 Vol.
<1%
240+
$270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent activity on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market favorite for Elon Musk’s output over August 20-22, 2026.**
Polymarket traders have priced this bucket at 46% implied probability, ahead of sub-40 tweets (33%), reflecting Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 24-26 posts per day in mid-August tracking data. Weekends often see moderated volume compared with weekdays, supporting the narrower 13-21 daily average that lands in the leading bin. Higher ranges above 65 tweets carry sharply lower odds (20% and below) because sustained bursts near his 2025 peaks of 60+ daily posts have not materialized in the latest windows.
No major product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies are scheduled for the period that would likely trigger elevated engagement, keeping the distribution centered on routine activity. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent multi-day samples heavily, where totals have clustered in the mid-range rather than extreme tails.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$6,918Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent activity on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market favorite for Elon Musk’s output over August 20-22, 2026.**
Polymarket traders have priced this bucket at 46% implied probability, ahead of sub-40 tweets (33%), reflecting Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 24-26 posts per day in mid-August tracking data. Weekends often see moderated volume compared with weekdays, supporting the narrower 13-21 daily average that lands in the leading bin. Higher ranges above 65 tweets carry sharply lower odds (20% and below) because sustained bursts near his 2025 peaks of 60+ daily posts have not materialized in the latest windows.
No major product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies are scheduled for the period that would likely trigger elevated engagement, keeping the distribution centered on routine activity. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent multi-day samples heavily, where totals have clustered in the mid-range rather than extreme tails.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,918Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent activity on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market favorite for Elon Musk’s output over August 20-22, 2026.** Polymarket traders have priced this bucket at 46% implied probability, ahead of sub-40 tweets (33%), reflecting Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 24-26 posts per day in mid-August tracking data. Weekends often see moderated volume compared with weekdays, supporting the narrower 13-21 daily average that lands in the leading bin. Higher ranges above 65 tweets carry sharply lower odds (20% and below) because sustained bursts near his 2025 peaks of 60+ daily posts have not materialized in the latest windows. No major product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies are scheduled for the period that would likely trigger elevated engagement, keeping the distribution centered on routine activity. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent multi-day samples heavily, where totals have clustered in the mid-range rather than extreme tails.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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