Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume X activity, often 25–40 posts daily including replies and media, anchors trader expectations for the August 18–25 window around the 160–219 range. Recent tracking shows bursts exceeding 40 posts on active days, fueled by ongoing commentary on SpaceX, Starlink, Tesla AI progress, and real-time events. Scheduled Starlink launches on the 18th, 20th, 22nd, and 25th represent key near-term catalysts likely to sustain momentum. The tight clustering of leading probabilities reflects inherent daily variability driven by news cycles and platform engagement rather than any anticipated slowdown, leaving room for shifts based on unfolding developments in Musk’s core companies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
180-199 19%
200-219 17%
160-179 16%
140-159 13%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
2%
140-159
13%
160-179
16%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
10%
260-279
10%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
1%
180-199 19%
200-219 17%
160-179 16%
140-159 13%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
2%
140-159
13%
160-179
16%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
10%
260-279
10%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume X activity, often 25–40 posts daily including replies and media, anchors trader expectations for the August 18–25 window around the 160–219 range. Recent tracking shows bursts exceeding 40 posts on active days, fueled by ongoing commentary on SpaceX, Starlink, Tesla AI progress, and real-time events. Scheduled Starlink launches on the 18th, 20th, 22nd, and 25th represent key near-term catalysts likely to sustain momentum. The tight clustering of leading probabilities reflects inherent daily variability driven by news cycles and platform engagement rather than any anticipated slowdown, leaving room for shifts based on unfolding developments in Musk’s core companies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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