Republican control of both chambers of Congress has blocked any realistic path to impeachment and conviction or sustained invocation of the 25th Amendment, with Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and calls tied to the 2026 Iran conflict tabled or lacking bipartisan support. President Trump remains active in office, issuing executive actions and managing cabinet appointments through mid-2026 with no verified health disclosures, resignation signals, or institutional moves indicating early departure. Low approval ratings near 34% and approaching midterms have not altered these structural barriers, as removal would require Senate supermajority thresholds rarely crossed in modern practice. Trader pricing at 94.5% for "No" reflects this consensus on institutional and partisan realities through the end of 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
6% tsansa
$10,752,848 Vol.
$10,752,848 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Oo
6% tsansa
$10,752,848 Vol.
$10,752,848 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican control of both chambers of Congress has blocked any realistic path to impeachment and conviction or sustained invocation of the 25th Amendment, with Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and calls tied to the 2026 Iran conflict tabled or lacking bipartisan support. President Trump remains active in office, issuing executive actions and managing cabinet appointments through mid-2026 with no verified health disclosures, resignation signals, or institutional moves indicating early departure. Low approval ratings near 34% and approaching midterms have not altered these structural barriers, as removal would require Senate supermajority thresholds rarely crossed in modern practice. Trader pricing at 94.5% for "No" reflects this consensus on institutional and partisan realities through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,752,848Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican control of both chambers of Congress has blocked any realistic path to impeachment and conviction or sustained invocation of the 25th Amendment, with Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and calls tied to the 2026 Iran conflict tabled or lacking bipartisan support. President Trump remains active in office, issuing executive actions and managing cabinet appointments through mid-2026 with no verified health disclosures, resignation signals, or institutional moves indicating early departure. Low approval ratings near 34% and approaching midterms have not altered these structural barriers, as removal would require Senate supermajority thresholds rarely crossed in modern practice. Trader pricing at 94.5% for "No" reflects this consensus on institutional and partisan realities through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,752,848Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of both chambers of Congress has blocked any realistic path to impeachment and conviction or sustained invocation of the 25th Amendment, with Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and calls tied to the 2026 Iran conflict tabled or lacking bipartisan support. President Trump remains active in office, issuing executive actions and managing cabinet appointments through mid-2026 with no verified health disclosures, resignation signals, or institutional moves indicating early departure. Low approval ratings near 34% and approaching midterms have not altered these structural barriers, as removal would require Senate supermajority thresholds rarely crossed in modern practice. Trader pricing at 94.5% for "No" reflects this consensus on institutional and partisan realities through the end of 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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