The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% for numerous unnamed labs and a slight edge for Google at 48.5% reflects broad trader uncertainty over which AI lab will rank second in math performance on Text Arena by late September. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at roughly 20% and 17%, consistent with their strong general large language model benchmarks yet less decisive recent math-specific gains compared to specialized Chinese labs or Google’s ongoing scaling of reasoning models. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable model releases, benchmark scores on math tasks, and demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims, with the short remaining window limiting time for new announcements or capability jumps to shift sentiment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 57%
OpenAI 16.7%
Anthropic 15.0%
Alibaba <1%
$51,045 Vol.
$51,045 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
38%
OpenAI
17%
Anthropic
15%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
Tencent
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Google 57%
OpenAI 16.7%
Anthropic 15.0%
Alibaba <1%
$51,045 Vol.
$51,045 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
$15,124 Vol.
38%
OpenAI
$6,584 Vol.
17%
Anthropic
$5,733 Vol.
15%
Alibaba
$5,673 Vol.
1%
Meta
$1,239 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$1,257 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$1,315 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,193 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% for numerous unnamed labs and a slight edge for Google at 48.5% reflects broad trader uncertainty over which AI lab will rank second in math performance on Text Arena by late September. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at roughly 20% and 17%, consistent with their strong general large language model benchmarks yet less decisive recent math-specific gains compared to specialized Chinese labs or Google’s ongoing scaling of reasoning models. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable model releases, benchmark scores on math tasks, and demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims, with the short remaining window limiting time for new announcements or capability jumps to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$51,045Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% for numerous unnamed labs and a slight edge for Google at 48.5% reflects broad trader uncertainty over which AI lab will rank second in math performance on Text Arena by late September. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at roughly 20% and 17%, consistent with their strong general large language model benchmarks yet less decisive recent math-specific gains compared to specialized Chinese labs or Google’s ongoing scaling of reasoning models. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable model releases, benchmark scores on math tasks, and demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims, with the short remaining window limiting time for new announcements or capability jumps to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$51,045Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% for numerous unnamed labs and a slight edge for Google at 48.5% reflects broad trader uncertainty over which AI lab will rank second in math performance on Text Arena by late September. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at roughly 20% and 17%, consistent with their strong general large language model benchmarks yet less decisive recent math-specific gains compared to specialized Chinese labs or Google’s ongoing scaling of reasoning models. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable model releases, benchmark scores on math tasks, and demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims, with the short remaining window limiting time for new announcements or capability jumps to shift sentiment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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