**Ahsanul Hafiz leads trader pricing at 67% in the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election market ahead of the September 3, 2026 vote, with Fatima Shaban at 31% and all other candidates at or below 1%.** The riding became vacant after NDP MPP Doly Begum resigned in February 2026 to run federally as a Liberal, where she won the concurrent Scarborough Southwest by-election by a wide margin. Hafiz secured the Ontario Liberal nomination in May after defeating Nathaniel Erskine-Smith in a close ranked-ballot contest that survived an appeal. Shaban is the NDP nominee and community organizer seeking to retain the historically NDP-leaning seat, while Noor Tarun represents the Progressive Conservatives and Mark Bekkering the Greens. The market reflects trader assessments of the three-way contest dynamics following candidate nominations and the recent federal result in the overlapping riding.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAhsanul Hafiz 67%
Fatima Shaban 31%
Noor Tarun <1%
Mark Bekkering <1%
$12,437 Vol.
$12,437 Vol.
Ahsanul Hafiz
67%
Fatima Shaban
31%
Noor Tarun
1%
Mark Bekkering
<1%
Chris Rees
<1%
Ahsanul Hafiz 67%
Fatima Shaban 31%
Noor Tarun <1%
Mark Bekkering <1%
$12,437 Vol.
$12,437 Vol.
Ahsanul Hafiz
67%
Fatima Shaban
31%
Noor Tarun
1%
Mark Bekkering
<1%
Chris Rees
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ahsanul Hafiz leads trader pricing at 67% in the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election market ahead of the September 3, 2026 vote, with Fatima Shaban at 31% and all other candidates at or below 1%.** The riding became vacant after NDP MPP Doly Begum resigned in February 2026 to run federally as a Liberal, where she won the concurrent Scarborough Southwest by-election by a wide margin. Hafiz secured the Ontario Liberal nomination in May after defeating Nathaniel Erskine-Smith in a close ranked-ballot contest that survived an appeal. Shaban is the NDP nominee and community organizer seeking to retain the historically NDP-leaning seat, while Noor Tarun represents the Progressive Conservatives and Mark Bekkering the Greens. The market reflects trader assessments of the three-way contest dynamics following candidate nominations and the recent federal result in the overlapping riding.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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