The Hamilton East—Stoney Creek by-election on September 3 features a competitive three-way race among Progressive Conservative councillor Jeff Beattie, Liberal Heino Doessing, and NDP nominee Monique Taylor. Trader pricing reflects the uncertainty created by the PC open seat after Neil Lumsden’s retirement, Doessing’s 2025 second-place finish that boosted Liberal support, and Taylor’s established profile from the adjacent Hamilton Mountain riding. Recent candidate announcements in July and early August have locked in experienced local contenders without a clear frontrunner emerging from polling or ground reports. Minor-party entries remain low-probability. Any late momentum from party leader visits, turnout efforts among core voters, or shifts in provincial sentiment could separate the top three before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner
Heino Doessing 45%
Jeff Beattie 24%
Monique Taylor 20%
Heather Curnew <1%
$16,178 Vol.
$16,178 Vol.

Heino Doessing
45%

Jeff Beattie
24%

Monique Taylor
20%

Heather Curnew
<1%

Wieslawa Derlatka
<1%

Pascale Marchand
<1%
Heino Doessing 45%
Jeff Beattie 24%
Monique Taylor 20%
Heather Curnew <1%
$16,178 Vol.
$16,178 Vol.

Heino Doessing
45%

Jeff Beattie
24%

Monique Taylor
20%

Heather Curnew
<1%

Wieslawa Derlatka
<1%

Pascale Marchand
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hamilton East—Stoney Creek by-election on September 3 features a competitive three-way race among Progressive Conservative councillor Jeff Beattie, Liberal Heino Doessing, and NDP nominee Monique Taylor. Trader pricing reflects the uncertainty created by the PC open seat after Neil Lumsden’s retirement, Doessing’s 2025 second-place finish that boosted Liberal support, and Taylor’s established profile from the adjacent Hamilton Mountain riding. Recent candidate announcements in July and early August have locked in experienced local contenders without a clear frontrunner emerging from polling or ground reports. Minor-party entries remain low-probability. Any late momentum from party leader visits, turnout efforts among core voters, or shifts in provincial sentiment could separate the top three before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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