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icon for Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

icon for Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

22% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
22% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).**Alaska's Ballot Measure 2, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system voters approved in 2020 while also altering related campaign finance disclosure rules, is scheduled for the November 3, 2026 general election ballot.** A nearly identical repeal initiative failed by just 737 votes (49.9% Yes to 50.1% No) in 2024—the narrowest margin for any Alaska ballot measure. The measure qualified after sponsors collected and verified more than 42,000 signatures in late 2025. Opposition groups defending the current system have raised over $5.5 million, far outpacing the roughly $750,000–$1.1 million raised by repeal advocates, even after a $1.5 million contribution from Elon Musk in July 2026. Public hearings occurred in July and August 2026, with opponents highlighting voter familiarity with ranked-choice voting after multiple election cycles and the measure’s impact on transparency provisions. These dynamics—combined with the 2024 result and resource imbalance—underpin trader consensus that the repeal is unlikely to pass. No major late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape as of mid-August 2026.

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Volume
$21
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).**Alaska's Ballot Measure 2, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system voters approved in 2020 while also altering related campaign finance disclosure rules, is scheduled for the November 3, 2026 general election ballot.** A nearly identical repeal initiative failed by just 737 votes (49.9% Yes to 50.1% No) in 2024—the narrowest margin for any Alaska ballot measure. The measure qualified after sponsors collected and verified more than 42,000 signatures in late 2025. Opposition groups defending the current system have raised over $5.5 million, far outpacing the roughly $750,000–$1.1 million raised by repeal advocates, even after a $1.5 million contribution from Elon Musk in July 2026. Public hearings occurred in July and August 2026, with opponents highlighting voter familiarity with ranked-choice voting after multiple election cycles and the measure’s impact on transparency provisions. These dynamics—combined with the 2024 result and resource imbalance—underpin trader consensus that the repeal is unlikely to pass. No major late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape as of mid-August 2026.

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Volume
$21
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).

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Ang "Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 22% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 22¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 22% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 21, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" ay 22% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 22% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.