Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates, with polls showing Tom Begich leading but at modest levels around 17-20 percent amid high undecided shares and support scattered across Republicans like Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, and Dave Bronson. Recent candidate withdrawals, including Matt Claman's exit in late June, have not consolidated the vote enough to produce a clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with multiple contenders holding comparable implied probabilities that could shift based on final turnout patterns, endorsements, or late campaign events before the primary advances the top four to the general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWho will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?
James Parkin 38%
Destry J. Payne Sr. 38%
Bill Walker 38%
Adam Crum 36%

James Parkin
38%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
38%

Bill Walker
38%

Adam Crum
36%

Tom Begich
35%

Matt Claman
34%

Nancy Dahlstrom
21%

Matt Heilala
21%

Shelley Hughes
21%

Hank Kroll
21%

Dave Bronson
20%

Treg Taylor
20%

Bruce Walden
20%

Gregg Brelsford
20%

Lesil McGuire
19%

Edna DeVries
19%

Click Bishop
19%

Bernadette Wilson
19%

Jessica Faircloth
19%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
39%
James Parkin 38%
Destry J. Payne Sr. 38%
Bill Walker 38%
Adam Crum 36%

James Parkin
38%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
38%

Bill Walker
38%

Adam Crum
36%

Tom Begich
35%

Matt Claman
34%

Nancy Dahlstrom
21%

Matt Heilala
21%

Shelley Hughes
21%

Hank Kroll
21%

Dave Bronson
20%

Treg Taylor
20%

Bruce Walden
20%

Gregg Brelsford
20%

Lesil McGuire
19%

Edna DeVries
19%

Click Bishop
19%

Bernadette Wilson
19%

Jessica Faircloth
19%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates, with polls showing Tom Begich leading but at modest levels around 17-20 percent amid high undecided shares and support scattered across Republicans like Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, and Dave Bronson. Recent candidate withdrawals, including Matt Claman's exit in late June, have not consolidated the vote enough to produce a clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with multiple contenders holding comparable implied probabilities that could shift based on final turnout patterns, endorsements, or late campaign events before the primary advances the top four to the general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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