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Heopolitika·UN

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

icon for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Heopolitika·UN

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Rebeca Grynspan 59%

Rafael Grossi 32%

Macky Sall 3.9%

Michelle Bachelet 2.5%

Polymarket

$168,173 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan 59%

Rafael Grossi 32%

Macky Sall 3.9%

Michelle Bachelet 2.5%

Polymarket

$168,173 Vol.

icon for Rebeca Grynspan

Rebeca Grynspan

$12,813 Vol.

59%

icon for Rafael Grossi

Rafael Grossi

$23,973 Vol.

32%

icon for Macky Sall

Macky Sall

$119,986 Vol.

4%

icon for Michelle Bachelet

Michelle Bachelet

$11,402 Vol.

2%

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan holds the leading trader consensus at 58.5% amid the ongoing 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection process, driven by her strong performance in the Security Council’s first straw poll in July 2026 and her extensive UN system experience as UNCTAD Secretary-General and former UNDP Associate Administrator. The informal regional rotation favoring a Latin American and Caribbean candidate, combined with perceptions of continuity under the current administration, bolster her position ahead of the recommendation phase. Rafael Grossi follows at 31% as the main alternative, backed by his IAEA leadership and early nomination, while Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet trail due to limited institutional endorsements and reported opposition. The Security Council’s upcoming straw polls and final recommendation to the General Assembly remain key upcoming steps.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,173
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan holds the leading trader consensus at 58.5% amid the ongoing 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection process, driven by her strong performance in the Security Council’s first straw poll in July 2026 and her extensive UN system experience as UNCTAD Secretary-General and former UNDP Associate Administrator. The informal regional rotation favoring a Latin American and Caribbean candidate, combined with perceptions of continuity under the current administration, bolster her position ahead of the recommendation phase. Rafael Grossi follows at 31% as the main alternative, backed by his IAEA leadership and early nomination, while Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet trail due to limited institutional endorsements and reported opposition. The Security Council’s upcoming straw polls and final recommendation to the General Assembly remain key upcoming steps.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,173
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Rebeca Grynspan" sa 59%, sinusundan ng "Rafael Grossi" sa 32%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 59¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 59% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" ay naka-generate ng $168.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" ay "Rebeca Grynspan" sa 59%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 59% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Rafael Grossi" sa 32%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.