President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Mykhailo Fedorov as Ukraine’s defense minister on July 15, 2026, after six months in the role, as part of a broader cabinet reshuffle that included the prime minister’s resignation and parliamentary approval of a new government. Fedorov, previously minister of digital transformation, had prioritized drone production, data-driven reforms, and anti-corruption measures during his tenure. His removal triggered protests in multiple cities, with demonstrators calling for his reinstatement amid reported tensions with Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi over military modernization and conscription policy. Fedorov publicly stated he had urged Syrskyi’s replacement—a request Zelenskyy declined—and left open the possibility of returning to the post, though the new cabinet structure and legislative confirmation process create clear procedural barriers. Any reversal would require Zelenskyy to renominate him and secure Verkhovna Rada support before the current transition stabilizes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
$125,466 Vol.
Jul 24, 2026
July 24
7%
July 31
13%
$125,466 Vol.
July 24
$44,887 Vol.
7%
July 31
$50,584 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Mykhailo Fedorov as Ukraine’s defense minister on July 15, 2026, after six months in the role, as part of a broader cabinet reshuffle that included the prime minister’s resignation and parliamentary approval of a new government. Fedorov, previously minister of digital transformation, had prioritized drone production, data-driven reforms, and anti-corruption measures during his tenure. His removal triggered protests in multiple cities, with demonstrators calling for his reinstatement amid reported tensions with Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi over military modernization and conscription policy. Fedorov publicly stated he had urged Syrskyi’s replacement—a request Zelenskyy declined—and left open the possibility of returning to the post, though the new cabinet structure and legislative confirmation process create clear procedural barriers. Any reversal would require Zelenskyy to renominate him and secure Verkhovna Rada support before the current transition stabilizes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 16, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$125,466Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 16, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Mykhailo Fedorov as Ukraine’s defense minister on July 15, 2026, after six months in the role, as part of a broader cabinet reshuffle that included the prime minister’s resignation and parliamentary approval of a new government. Fedorov, previously minister of digital transformation, had prioritized drone production, data-driven reforms, and anti-corruption measures during his tenure. His removal triggered protests in multiple cities, with demonstrators calling for his reinstatement amid reported tensions with Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi over military modernization and conscription policy. Fedorov publicly stated he had urged Syrskyi’s replacement—a request Zelenskyy declined—and left open the possibility of returning to the post, though the new cabinet structure and legislative confirmation process create clear procedural barriers. Any reversal would require Zelenskyy to renominate him and secure Verkhovna Rada support before the current transition stabilizes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$125,466Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 16, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Mykhailo Fedorov as Ukraine’s defense minister on July 15, 2026, after six months in the role, as part of a broader cabinet reshuffle that included the prime minister’s resignation and parliamentary approval of a new government. Fedorov, previously minister of digital transformation, had prioritized drone production, data-driven reforms, and anti-corruption measures during his tenure. His removal triggered protests in multiple cities, with demonstrators calling for his reinstatement amid reported tensions with Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi over military modernization and conscription policy. Fedorov publicly stated he had urged Syrskyi’s replacement—a request Zelenskyy declined—and left open the possibility of returning to the post, though the new cabinet structure and legislative confirmation process create clear procedural barriers. Any reversal would require Zelenskyy to renominate him and secure Verkhovna Rada support before the current transition stabilizes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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