Ukraine's political landscape shows limited signs of imminent instability that would support elevated odds of a coup attempt. Ongoing military operations against Russian forces have reinforced national cohesion under President Zelenskyy, while recent leadership adjustments—including the July 2026 replacement of Armed Forces commander Oleksandr Syrskyi with Mykhailo Drapatyi amid protests over defense ministry roles—remained within institutional channels. Trader pricing, with December 31, 2026 as the leading outcome near single digits, aligns with the absence of verified plots, opposition mobilization, or parliamentary challenges in recent months. Scheduled developments such as continued battlefield engagements or potential diplomatic shifts could introduce volatility, though structural factors like wartime governance norms and international support continue to anchor expectations of continuity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUkraine coup attempt by...?
$169,153 Vol.
December 31
8%
$169,153 Vol.
December 31
8%
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's political landscape shows limited signs of imminent instability that would support elevated odds of a coup attempt. Ongoing military operations against Russian forces have reinforced national cohesion under President Zelenskyy, while recent leadership adjustments—including the July 2026 replacement of Armed Forces commander Oleksandr Syrskyi with Mykhailo Drapatyi amid protests over defense ministry roles—remained within institutional channels. Trader pricing, with December 31, 2026 as the leading outcome near single digits, aligns with the absence of verified plots, opposition mobilization, or parliamentary challenges in recent months. Scheduled developments such as continued battlefield engagements or potential diplomatic shifts could introduce volatility, though structural factors like wartime governance norms and international support continue to anchor expectations of continuity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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