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Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Marília Campos 49%

Aécio Neves 47.3%

Carlos Viana 3.0%

Domingos Sávio <1%

Polymarket

$42,673 Vol.

Marília Campos 49%

Aécio Neves 47.3%

Carlos Viana 3.0%

Domingos Sávio <1%

Polymarket

$42,673 Vol.

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$15,798 Vol.

49%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$3,679 Vol.

47%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$8,912 Vol.

3%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$2,014 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$1,307 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$2,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$719 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$643 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$682 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$546 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$552 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$648 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$702 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) remain the frontrunners for first place in Minas Gerais’ two-seat Senate race, with recent polls showing them separated by just a few points amid widespread voter indecision.** Surveys from July and August, including Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, place Campos at 18–24% and Neves at 13–16% in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios, while Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL) trail in the 9–14% range and frequently fall within the margin of error. High undecided shares (10–17%) and the fact that roughly two-thirds of voters say their choice could still shift keep the contest fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Neves’ late registration in early September, after initially declining to run, has introduced fresh alliance dynamics within the PSDB-PDT-Cidadania grouping and may consolidate center support. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities in the market, with separation likely hinging on final campaign positioning, turnout patterns, and any last-minute shifts in voter preferences.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$42,673
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) remain the frontrunners for first place in Minas Gerais’ two-seat Senate race, with recent polls showing them separated by just a few points amid widespread voter indecision.** Surveys from July and August, including Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, place Campos at 18–24% and Neves at 13–16% in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios, while Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL) trail in the 9–14% range and frequently fall within the margin of error. High undecided shares (10–17%) and the fact that roughly two-thirds of voters say their choice could still shift keep the contest fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Neves’ late registration in early September, after initially declining to run, has introduced fresh alliance dynamics within the PSDB-PDT-Cidadania grouping and may consolidate center support. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities in the market, with separation likely hinging on final campaign positioning, turnout patterns, and any last-minute shifts in voter preferences.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$42,673
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

35%
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Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

64%
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Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

79%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 18 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Marília Campos" sa 49%, sinusundan ng "Aécio Neves" sa 47%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 49¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 49% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" ay naka-generate ng $42.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 17, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place," i-browse ang 18 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" ay "Marília Campos" sa 49%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 49% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Aécio Neves" sa 47%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.