**AfD leads Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20, 2026, Landtag election in every recent poll, holding a consistent plurality near 36% against SPD’s 29% and double-digit or lower shares for Linke, CDU, and smaller parties.** This positioning underpins the 84.5% trader consensus for an AfD win, reflecting the party’s entrenched eastern strength and the SPD-led incumbent government’s declining support since the 2021 result. Mid-August polling from INSA and earlier Infratest dimap surveys showed no narrowing of the gap, while a televised debate format dispute and AfD internal planning documents on migration policy underscored the campaign’s focus on the frontrunners. Other parties remain marginal in the race, keeping their implied probabilities near zero. The September 6 Saxony-Anhalt vote offers a nearby precedent but is treated as distinct by traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$456,250 Vol.
$456,250 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$456,250 Vol.
$456,250 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$80,021 Vol.
85%
SPD
$96,548 Vol.
16%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20, 2026, Landtag election in every recent poll, holding a consistent plurality near 36% against SPD’s 29% and double-digit or lower shares for Linke, CDU, and smaller parties.** This positioning underpins the 84.5% trader consensus for an AfD win, reflecting the party’s entrenched eastern strength and the SPD-led incumbent government’s declining support since the 2021 result. Mid-August polling from INSA and earlier Infratest dimap surveys showed no narrowing of the gap, while a televised debate format dispute and AfD internal planning documents on migration policy underscored the campaign’s focus on the frontrunners. Other parties remain marginal in the race, keeping their implied probabilities near zero. The September 6 Saxony-Anhalt vote offers a nearby precedent but is treated as distinct by traders.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$456,250Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20, 2026, Landtag election in every recent poll, holding a consistent plurality near 36% against SPD’s 29% and double-digit or lower shares for Linke, CDU, and smaller parties.** This positioning underpins the 84.5% trader consensus for an AfD win, reflecting the party’s entrenched eastern strength and the SPD-led incumbent government’s declining support since the 2021 result. Mid-August polling from INSA and earlier Infratest dimap surveys showed no narrowing of the gap, while a televised debate format dispute and AfD internal planning documents on migration policy underscored the campaign’s focus on the frontrunners. Other parties remain marginal in the race, keeping their implied probabilities near zero. The September 6 Saxony-Anhalt vote offers a nearby precedent but is treated as distinct by traders.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$456,250Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**AfD leads Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20, 2026, Landtag election in every recent poll, holding a consistent plurality near 36% against SPD’s 29% and double-digit or lower shares for Linke, CDU, and smaller parties.** This positioning underpins the 84.5% trader consensus for an AfD win, reflecting the party’s entrenched eastern strength and the SPD-led incumbent government’s declining support since the 2021 result. Mid-August polling from INSA and earlier Infratest dimap surveys showed no narrowing of the gap, while a televised debate format dispute and AfD internal planning documents on migration policy underscored the campaign’s focus on the frontrunners. Other parties remain marginal in the race, keeping their implied probabilities near zero. The September 6 Saxony-Anhalt vote offers a nearby precedent but is treated as distinct by traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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