Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeal ruling, which shortened her eligibility ban and allowed her National Rally candidacy announcement, has clarified the far-right lane while polls show her leading. On the traditional right, The Republicans endorsed Bruno Retailleau outright in April 2026 after an internal vote, ending primary speculation among rivals. The fragmented left faces an October 2026 United Left primary amid ongoing splits between La France Insoumise and the Socialist Party, with multiple figures likely running separately. Centrist contenders including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe have declared, contributing to an unusually crowded field of roughly 30 potential candidates ahead of the April 2027 first round. These nomination and alliance dynamics directly shape which names appear on the ballot.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$296,317 Vol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%

Marine Le Pen
88%

Nathalie Arthaud
86%

Édouard Philippe
85%

Fabien Roussel
81%

Bruno Retailleau
77%

Raphaël Glucksmann
62%

Éric Zemmour
57%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
56%

David Lisnard
56%

François Ruffin
43%

Sarah Knafo
42%

Dominique de Villepin
31%

Gabriel Attal
31%

François Hollande
31%

Marine Tondelier
27%

Juan Branco
15%

Jordan Bardella
13%

Xavier Bertrand
13%

François Asselineau
12%

Bernard Cazeneuve
12%

Jérôme Guedj
10%

Sébastien Lecornu
8%

Karim Bouamrane
8%

Manuel Bompard
8%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%

Ségolène Royal
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

Matthieu Pigasse
6%

François Bayrou
6%

Manuel Valls
6%

Philippe de Villiers
5%

Valérie Pécresse
5%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%

Gérald Darmanin
4%

Teddy Riner
3%

Clémentine Autain
3%

Carole Delga
3%

Mathilde Panot
3%

Bally Bagayoko
3%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Jean Castex
3%

Delphine Batho
3%

Élisabeth Borne
2%

Michel Barnier
2%

Olivier Faure
34%
$296,317 Vol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%

Marine Le Pen
88%

Nathalie Arthaud
86%

Édouard Philippe
85%

Fabien Roussel
81%

Bruno Retailleau
77%

Raphaël Glucksmann
62%

Éric Zemmour
57%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
56%

David Lisnard
56%

François Ruffin
43%

Sarah Knafo
42%

Dominique de Villepin
31%

Gabriel Attal
31%

François Hollande
31%

Marine Tondelier
27%

Juan Branco
15%

Jordan Bardella
13%

Xavier Bertrand
13%

François Asselineau
12%

Bernard Cazeneuve
12%

Jérôme Guedj
10%

Sébastien Lecornu
8%

Karim Bouamrane
8%

Manuel Bompard
8%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%

Ségolène Royal
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

Matthieu Pigasse
6%

François Bayrou
6%

Manuel Valls
6%

Philippe de Villiers
5%

Valérie Pécresse
5%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%

Gérald Darmanin
4%

Teddy Riner
3%

Clémentine Autain
3%

Carole Delga
3%

Mathilde Panot
3%

Bally Bagayoko
3%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Jean Castex
3%

Delphine Batho
3%

Élisabeth Borne
2%

Michel Barnier
2%

Olivier Faure
34%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeal ruling, which shortened her eligibility ban and allowed her National Rally candidacy announcement, has clarified the far-right lane while polls show her leading. On the traditional right, The Republicans endorsed Bruno Retailleau outright in April 2026 after an internal vote, ending primary speculation among rivals. The fragmented left faces an October 2026 United Left primary amid ongoing splits between La France Insoumise and the Socialist Party, with multiple figures likely running separately. Centrist contenders including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe have declared, contributing to an unusually crowded field of roughly 30 potential candidates ahead of the April 2027 first round. These nomination and alliance dynamics directly shape which names appear on the ballot.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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