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Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner

Dillon Roberts 18%

Michael Johnstone 12%

Leanne Raw 12%

Chloe Foster 6.0%

Polymarket
BAGO

Dillon Roberts 18%

Michael Johnstone 12%

Leanne Raw 12%

Chloe Foster 6.0%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Dillon Roberts

Dillon Roberts

$746 Vol.

18%

icon for Michael Johnstone

Michael Johnstone

$1,048 Vol.

12%

icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$3,645 Vol.

12%

icon for Chloe Foster

Chloe Foster

$1,203 Vol.

13%

icon for Mary Duniam

Mary Duniam

$717 Vol.

3%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$864 Vol.

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local figures, keeping trader consensus split across numerous options with no candidate exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities. Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw and Michael Johnstone have each declared, while former mayor Kevin Hyland and Chloe Foster also feature among named contenders. Nominations remain open until late September, allowing further entrants that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government vote. Recent council debates over policy motions and budget priorities have highlighted competing records in local government experience but have not produced decisive endorsements or withdrawals capable of consolidating support. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to any late declarations or ticket arrangements that could alter visibility before polling.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,223
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local figures, keeping trader consensus split across numerous options with no candidate exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities. Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw and Michael Johnstone have each declared, while former mayor Kevin Hyland and Chloe Foster also feature among named contenders. Nominations remain open until late September, allowing further entrants that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government vote. Recent council debates over policy motions and budget priorities have highlighted competing records in local government experience but have not produced decisive endorsements or withdrawals capable of consolidating support. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to any late declarations or ticket arrangements that could alter visibility before polling.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,223
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Dillon Roberts" sa 18%, sinusundan ng "Chloe Foster" sa 13%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 18¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 3, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Dillon Roberts" sa 18%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Chloe Foster" sa 13%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.