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Politika·Brazil

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politika·Brazil

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Carlos Viana 47%

Marília Campos 38%

Domingos Sávio 15.2%

Marcelo Aro 3.9%

Polymarket

$18,741 Vol.

Carlos Viana 47%

Marília Campos 38%

Domingos Sávio 15.2%

Marcelo Aro 3.9%

Polymarket

$18,741 Vol.

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$6,631 Vol.

47%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$3,898 Vol.

38%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$1,932 Vol.

15%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$571 Vol.

4%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$443 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$452 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$388 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$483 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$421 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$461 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$447 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Minas Gerais Senate race for two seats remains highly fragmented heading into the October 4, 2026 election, with recent Datafolha polling showing Marília Campos (PT) at 11%, incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6%, Marcelo Aro (PP) at 5%, and a long tail of single-digit or lower contenders including Ana Luiza do MLB and Marco Antônio Superman. Mid-August candidate registrations with the TSE and asset declarations have kept over a dozen viable names active, preventing consolidation. This broad dispersion, combined with undecided voters and limited campaign momentum, sustains tight trader-implied probabilities for second place across leading options while underscoring how late polling shifts, alliance announcements, or turnout variations could reorder the field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,741
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Minas Gerais Senate race for two seats remains highly fragmented heading into the October 4, 2026 election, with recent Datafolha polling showing Marília Campos (PT) at 11%, incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6%, Marcelo Aro (PP) at 5%, and a long tail of single-digit or lower contenders including Ana Luiza do MLB and Marco Antônio Superman. Mid-August candidate registrations with the TSE and asset declarations have kept over a dozen viable names active, preventing consolidation. This broad dispersion, combined with undecided voters and limited campaign momentum, sustains tight trader-implied probabilities for second place across leading options while underscoring how late polling shifts, alliance announcements, or turnout variations could reorder the field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,741
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

63%
icon for Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

56%
icon for Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

47%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Carlos Viana" sa 47%, sinusundan ng "Marília Campos" sa 38%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 47¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay naka-generate ng $18.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 17, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay "Carlos Viana" sa 47%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Marília Campos" sa 38%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.