Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather, alongside recent observational data, show Warsaw's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 13°C on August 23, driving the 96% market-implied odds for that outcome. This aligns with the city's typical August climatology, where average lows range 12–14°C under clear or partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Numerical weather predictions indicate minimal diurnal cooling beyond this threshold absent a surprise cold front. The outcome could shift only if revised station readings or localized microclimate effects push the official minimum outside the narrow 12–14°C band before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
13°C 96%
11°C 6%
12°C 3%
8°C or below <1%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
3%
13°C
96%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 96%
11°C 6%
12°C 3%
8°C or below <1%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
3%
13°C
96%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather, alongside recent observational data, show Warsaw's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 13°C on August 23, driving the 96% market-implied odds for that outcome. This aligns with the city's typical August climatology, where average lows range 12–14°C under clear or partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Numerical weather predictions indicate minimal diurnal cooling beyond this threshold absent a surprise cold front. The outcome could shift only if revised station readings or localized microclimate effects push the official minimum outside the narrow 12–14°C band before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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