National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 17, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 70–71°F under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited mixing, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Park normals hover around 69°F. This consensus from NWS model guidance and surface observations has driven the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 70–71°F bin. A stronger-than-expected cold front or sharper radiational cooling under clearer skies could push readings into the upper 60s, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before the minimum is recorded at the official station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
70-71°F 98.0%
68-69°F 1.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$16,353 Vol.
$16,353 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
98%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 98.0%
68-69°F 1.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$16,353 Vol.
$16,353 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
$291 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$379 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,345 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,794 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,203 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$2,923 Vol.
98%
72-73°F
$4,335 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,467 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$710 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$616 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 17, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 70–71°F under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited mixing, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Park normals hover around 69°F. This consensus from NWS model guidance and surface observations has driven the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 70–71°F bin. A stronger-than-expected cold front or sharper radiational cooling under clearer skies could push readings into the upper 60s, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before the minimum is recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$16,353Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 17, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 70–71°F under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited mixing, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Park normals hover around 69°F. This consensus from NWS model guidance and surface observations has driven the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 70–71°F bin. A stronger-than-expected cold front or sharper radiational cooling under clearer skies could push readings into the upper 60s, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before the minimum is recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,353Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 17, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 70–71°F under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited mixing, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Park normals hover around 69°F. This consensus from NWS model guidance and surface observations has driven the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 70–71°F bin. A stronger-than-expected cold front or sharper radiational cooling under clearer skies could push readings into the upper 60s, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before the minimum is recorded at the official station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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