**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 4, 2026, centers on 12°C as the leading outcome (55% implied probability), reflecting official forecast consensus and historical climatology for early September at the city's 2,240 m elevation.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typically produces minima near 12–14°C during the rainy season, consistent with National Meteorological Service guidance and model runs showing the temperature bottoming around dawn on the 5th. The elevated 30.5% probability on 7°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger cooling if clearer skies or drier air advected in, though such extremes remain rare in September. Recent data releases, including updated hourly observations and ensemble forecasts, reinforced the narrow 11–13°C band, anchoring market-implied odds while underscoring the influence of cloud cover and precipitation on the final recorded minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 4?
7°C or below 61%
10°C 10%
11°C 5%
8°C <1%
$2,848 Vol.
$2,848 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
7°C or below
61%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
10%
11°C
5%
12°C
-
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 61%
10°C 10%
11°C 5%
8°C <1%
$2,848 Vol.
$2,848 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
7°C or below
$122 Vol.
61%
8°C
$161 Vol.
1%
9°C
$239 Vol.
1%
10°C
$171 Vol.
10%
11°C
$74 Vol.
5%
12°C
$1,498 Vol.
-
13°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 4, 2026, centers on 12°C as the leading outcome (55% implied probability), reflecting official forecast consensus and historical climatology for early September at the city's 2,240 m elevation.**
Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typically produces minima near 12–14°C during the rainy season, consistent with National Meteorological Service guidance and model runs showing the temperature bottoming around dawn on the 5th. The elevated 30.5% probability on 7°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger cooling if clearer skies or drier air advected in, though such extremes remain rare in September. Recent data releases, including updated hourly observations and ensemble forecasts, reinforced the narrow 11–13°C band, anchoring market-implied odds while underscoring the influence of cloud cover and precipitation on the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,848Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 4, 2026, centers on 12°C as the leading outcome (55% implied probability), reflecting official forecast consensus and historical climatology for early September at the city's 2,240 m elevation.**
Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typically produces minima near 12–14°C during the rainy season, consistent with National Meteorological Service guidance and model runs showing the temperature bottoming around dawn on the 5th. The elevated 30.5% probability on 7°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger cooling if clearer skies or drier air advected in, though such extremes remain rare in September. Recent data releases, including updated hourly observations and ensemble forecasts, reinforced the narrow 11–13°C band, anchoring market-implied odds while underscoring the influence of cloud cover and precipitation on the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,848Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 4, 2026, centers on 12°C as the leading outcome (55% implied probability), reflecting official forecast consensus and historical climatology for early September at the city's 2,240 m elevation.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typically produces minima near 12–14°C during the rainy season, consistent with National Meteorological Service guidance and model runs showing the temperature bottoming around dawn on the 5th. The elevated 30.5% probability on 7°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger cooling if clearer skies or drier air advected in, though such extremes remain rare in September. Recent data releases, including updated hourly observations and ensemble forecasts, reinforced the narrow 11–13°C band, anchoring market-implied odds while underscoring the influence of cloud cover and precipitation on the final recorded minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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