Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and thunderstorms associated with a passing weather system have suppressed daytime heating across Taipei on September 5, with official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple models indicating a maximum near 28°C under high humidity and northwest winds. Despite this, market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence (97.5%) on 31°C, consistent with the long-term September climatological mean of 30–31°C and possible adjustments for urban heat-island effects or late-day clearing. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at the primary station; any unexpected reduction in rainfall or stronger solar insolation could push readings toward that threshold, though current model consensus favors the cooler outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on September 5?
31°C 99.5%
32°C 1.0%
35°C or higher <1%
33°C <1%
$36,139 Vol.
$36,139 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 99.5%
32°C 1.0%
35°C or higher <1%
33°C <1%
$36,139 Vol.
$36,139 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and thunderstorms associated with a passing weather system have suppressed daytime heating across Taipei on September 5, with official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple models indicating a maximum near 28°C under high humidity and northwest winds. Despite this, market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence (97.5%) on 31°C, consistent with the long-term September climatological mean of 30–31°C and possible adjustments for urban heat-island effects or late-day clearing. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at the primary station; any unexpected reduction in rainfall or stronger solar insolation could push readings toward that threshold, though current model consensus favors the cooler outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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