Recent forecast consensus from European meteorological models projects a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Amsterdam on September 6, supported by southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure limiting convective activity or significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 57.5% implied probability, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.2°C but well below recent extremes like the 29.4°C record. Traders appear to weigh model agreement on modest daytime heating against typical late-summer variability and potential minor forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 61%
21°C 19%
23°C 19%
24°C 4%
$31,147 Vol.
$31,147 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
19%
22°C
61%
23°C
19%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 61%
21°C 19%
23°C 19%
24°C 4%
$31,147 Vol.
$31,147 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
19%
22°C
61%
23°C
19%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European meteorological models projects a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Amsterdam on September 6, supported by southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure limiting convective activity or significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 57.5% implied probability, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.2°C but well below recent extremes like the 29.4°C record. Traders appear to weigh model agreement on modest daytime heating against typical late-summer variability and potential minor forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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