Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET, indicate a minimum temperature for Madrid on September 6 near 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly or variable winds, and a stable warm air mass with surface high pressure. This setup follows several days of above-average warmth, with daytime highs reaching the mid-30s°C and limited nocturnal cooling. Historical September 6 averages near 17°C provide context, yet the ongoing late-summer pattern supports trader consensus around the low-20s range. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could refine the implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
21°C or below 48%
31°C or higher 47%
22°C 27%
23°C 22%
21°C or below
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
22%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
14%
27°C
15%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
47%
21°C or below 48%
31°C or higher 47%
22°C 27%
23°C 22%
21°C or below
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
22%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
14%
27°C
15%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET, indicate a minimum temperature for Madrid on September 6 near 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly or variable winds, and a stable warm air mass with surface high pressure. This setup follows several days of above-average warmth, with daytime highs reaching the mid-30s°C and limited nocturnal cooling. Historical September 6 averages near 17°C provide context, yet the ongoing late-summer pattern supports trader consensus around the low-20s range. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could refine the implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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