Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Madrid on September 6 centered in the mid-30s Celsius under clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, with afternoon highs projected near 34–36°C depending on the exact timing of maximum insolation and local wind shifts. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Minor differences in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing, slight variations in dew points, and urban heat effects at official stations create the narrow uncertainty band separating those two results. Historical September averages near 29°C and the 2016 record of 38.9°C provide context, though near-term stability in the ridge favors the current implied probabilities without major shifts expected before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
37°C 50%
36°C 39%
38°C 12%
35°C 3%
BAGO
$10,462 Vol.
BAGO
$10,462 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
39%
37°C
50%
38°C
12%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 50%
36°C 39%
38°C 12%
35°C 3%
BAGO
$10,462 Vol.
BAGO
$10,462 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
33°C or below
$495 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,401 Vol.
3%
36°C
$2,113 Vol.
39%
37°C
$2,241 Vol.
50%
38°C
$2,132 Vol.
12%
39°C
$481 Vol.
1%
40°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$527 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$189 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Madrid on September 6 centered in the mid-30s Celsius under clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, with afternoon highs projected near 34–36°C depending on the exact timing of maximum insolation and local wind shifts. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Minor differences in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing, slight variations in dew points, and urban heat effects at official stations create the narrow uncertainty band separating those two results. Historical September averages near 29°C and the 2016 record of 38.9°C provide context, though near-term stability in the ridge favors the current implied probabilities without major shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,462Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Madrid on September 6 centered in the mid-30s Celsius under clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, with afternoon highs projected near 34–36°C depending on the exact timing of maximum insolation and local wind shifts. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Minor differences in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing, slight variations in dew points, and urban heat effects at official stations create the narrow uncertainty band separating those two results. Historical September averages near 29°C and the 2016 record of 38.9°C provide context, though near-term stability in the ridge favors the current implied probabilities without major shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,462Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Madrid on September 6 centered in the mid-30s Celsius under clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, with afternoon highs projected near 34–36°C depending on the exact timing of maximum insolation and local wind shifts. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Minor differences in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing, slight variations in dew points, and urban heat effects at official stations create the narrow uncertainty band separating those two results. Historical September averages near 29°C and the 2016 record of 38.9°C provide context, though near-term stability in the ridge favors the current implied probabilities without major shifts expected before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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