Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 14–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling over the coastal plain. Mild spring advection from the warmer Agulhas Current region, combined with elevated dew points near 14 °C, further moderates the low while scattered showers add latent heat. These conditions keep the probability of extremes (below 11 °C or above 21 °C) closely balanced in trader pricing, as small shifts in wind direction or cloud thickness could tip the overnight minimum by 2–3 °C. Updated short-range model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
21°C or higher 68%
11°C or below 67%
15°C 27%
14°C 25%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
67%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
25%
15°C
27%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
8%
19°C
9%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
68%
21°C or higher 68%
11°C or below 67%
15°C 27%
14°C 25%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
67%
12°C
$8 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 14–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling over the coastal plain. Mild spring advection from the warmer Agulhas Current region, combined with elevated dew points near 14 °C, further moderates the low while scattered showers add latent heat. These conditions keep the probability of extremes (below 11 °C or above 21 °C) closely balanced in trader pricing, as small shifts in wind direction or cloud thickness could tip the overnight minimum by 2–3 °C. Updated short-range model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$8Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 14–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling over the coastal plain. Mild spring advection from the warmer Agulhas Current region, combined with elevated dew points near 14 °C, further moderates the low while scattered showers add latent heat. These conditions keep the probability of extremes (below 11 °C or above 21 °C) closely balanced in trader pricing, as small shifts in wind direction or cloud thickness could tip the overnight minimum by 2–3 °C. Updated short-range model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 14–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling over the coastal plain. Mild spring advection from the warmer Agulhas Current region, combined with elevated dew points near 14 °C, further moderates the low while scattered showers add latent heat. These conditions keep the probability of extremes (below 11 °C or above 21 °C) closely balanced in trader pricing, as small shifts in wind direction or cloud thickness could tip the overnight minimum by 2–3 °C. Updated short-range model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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