Incumbent Democrat J.B. Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, facing Republican nominee Darren Bailey in a November rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey prevailed in a competitive Republican field. Recent polling averages place Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois’s Democratic tilt and the incumbent’s prior victory margin exceeding 12 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% Democrat probability aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include late economic disruptions, candidate health events, unusually strong Republican turnout tied to national factors, or successful ballot access by independent candidates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
6%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$5,080 Vol.
96%
Republican
$4,851 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat J.B. Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, facing Republican nominee Darren Bailey in a November rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey prevailed in a competitive Republican field. Recent polling averages place Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois’s Democratic tilt and the incumbent’s prior victory margin exceeding 12 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% Democrat probability aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include late economic disruptions, candidate health events, unusually strong Republican turnout tied to national factors, or successful ballot access by independent candidates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$9,930Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat J.B. Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, facing Republican nominee Darren Bailey in a November rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey prevailed in a competitive Republican field. Recent polling averages place Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois’s Democratic tilt and the incumbent’s prior victory margin exceeding 12 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% Democrat probability aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include late economic disruptions, candidate health events, unusually strong Republican turnout tied to national factors, or successful ballot access by independent candidates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$9,930Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat J.B. Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, facing Republican nominee Darren Bailey in a November rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey prevailed in a competitive Republican field. Recent polling averages place Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois’s Democratic tilt and the incumbent’s prior victory margin exceeding 12 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% Democrat probability aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include late economic disruptions, candidate health events, unusually strong Republican turnout tied to national factors, or successful ballot access by independent candidates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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