**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 6, 2026, reflects tight alignment across official forecasts and observational data.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daytime maximum of 30°C (or 85°F) under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity typical of Shanghai’s early-September subtropical monsoon regime. No significant synoptic features such as typhoons or strong frontal systems are influencing the region today, allowing stable radiative heating balanced by sea-breeze effects and cloud cover to cap temperatures precisely at this level. Historical September climatology for the city supports highs near 29–31°C under similar conditions. While urban heat-island effects or brief clearer intervals could nudge readings slightly higher at some stations, the convergence of model runs and real-time observations leaves little room for deviation from the 30°C threshold that resolves the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$58,142 Vol.
$58,142 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$58,142 Vol.
$58,142 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 6, 2026, reflects tight alignment across official forecasts and observational data.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daytime maximum of 30°C (or 85°F) under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity typical of Shanghai’s early-September subtropical monsoon regime. No significant synoptic features such as typhoons or strong frontal systems are influencing the region today, allowing stable radiative heating balanced by sea-breeze effects and cloud cover to cap temperatures precisely at this level. Historical September climatology for the city supports highs near 29–31°C under similar conditions. While urban heat-island effects or brief clearer intervals could nudge readings slightly higher at some stations, the convergence of model runs and real-time observations leaves little room for deviation from the 30°C threshold that resolves the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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