Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity continues to drive extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Metro Manila, suppressing daytime solar heating and keeping peak temperatures near 29–30°C for September 6. PAGASA outlooks and GFS/ECMWF model consensus indicate highs around 28–29°C (roughly 84°F) with 75–90% rain chances, consistent with typical September monsoon patterns that rarely allow sustained clear-sky warming. These conditions explain the market-implied concentration on 29–30°C outcomes, while any brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on September 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 6?
30°C 41%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
28%
30°C
41%
31°C
20%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
$510 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$642 Vol.
4%
28°C
$349 Vol.
9%
29°C
$619 Vol.
28%
30°C
$842 Vol.
41%
31°C
$560 Vol.
20%
32°C
$577 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$55 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity continues to drive extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Metro Manila, suppressing daytime solar heating and keeping peak temperatures near 29–30°C for September 6. PAGASA outlooks and GFS/ECMWF model consensus indicate highs around 28–29°C (roughly 84°F) with 75–90% rain chances, consistent with typical September monsoon patterns that rarely allow sustained clear-sky warming. These conditions explain the market-implied concentration on 29–30°C outcomes, while any brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$5,197Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity continues to drive extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Metro Manila, suppressing daytime solar heating and keeping peak temperatures near 29–30°C for September 6. PAGASA outlooks and GFS/ECMWF model consensus indicate highs around 28–29°C (roughly 84°F) with 75–90% rain chances, consistent with typical September monsoon patterns that rarely allow sustained clear-sky warming. These conditions explain the market-implied concentration on 29–30°C outcomes, while any brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,197Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity continues to drive extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Metro Manila, suppressing daytime solar heating and keeping peak temperatures near 29–30°C for September 6. PAGASA outlooks and GFS/ECMWF model consensus indicate highs around 28–29°C (roughly 84°F) with 75–90% rain chances, consistent with typical September monsoon patterns that rarely allow sustained clear-sky warming. These conditions explain the market-implied concentration on 29–30°C outcomes, while any brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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