Trader consensus in the Lucknow maximum temperature market centers on 31°C as the leading outcome, driven by the India Meteorological Department forecast of a 31°C high for September 6 amid generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below recent observed values around 32°C. Model guidance and historical late-monsoon patterns in the Gangetic plains reinforce this range, with 30–32°C capturing over 95% of market-implied probability. Daily IMD updates and any shifts in rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 49%
30°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
27%
31°C
49%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
27%
31°C
49%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Lucknow maximum temperature market centers on 31°C as the leading outcome, driven by the India Meteorological Department forecast of a 31°C high for September 6 amid generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below recent observed values around 32°C. Model guidance and historical late-monsoon patterns in the Gangetic plains reinforce this range, with 30–32°C capturing over 95% of market-implied probability. Daily IMD updates and any shifts in rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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