Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 6 will likely settle near 24–25°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 25°C. Cooling follows seasonal transition from summer monsoon patterns, with reduced humidity and clearer nocturnal radiational cooling expected as a high-pressure ridge builds. Model guidance shows minimal spread, with any showers unlikely to prevent temperatures from dipping to these levels by dawn. Traders appear to weigh this against historical September averages near 23–24°C, positioning 24–26°C outcomes as the core range while discounting extremes due to stable synoptic conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
25°C 55%
24°C 24%
26°C 20%
23°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
24%
25°C
55%
26°C
20%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
24°C 24%
26°C 20%
23°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
24%
25°C
55%
26°C
20%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 6 will likely settle near 24–25°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 25°C. Cooling follows seasonal transition from summer monsoon patterns, with reduced humidity and clearer nocturnal radiational cooling expected as a high-pressure ridge builds. Model guidance shows minimal spread, with any showers unlikely to prevent temperatures from dipping to these levels by dawn. Traders appear to weigh this against historical September averages near 23–24°C, positioning 24–26°C outcomes as the core range while discounting extremes due to stable synoptic conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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