Recent atmospheric conditions in São Paulo, including mild winter radiative heating under variable high clouds and limited Atlantic moisture advection, support peak temperatures near 26–27°C, aligning with trader consensus on the day's highest reading. Urban heat island effects from the dense built environment amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C compared to rural baselines, while light easterly winds reduce mixing and allow localized warming. Model runs show minor divergence on exact timing of any clearing, with official INMET station data and short-term ensembles differentiating outcomes at the 26°C versus 27°C thresholds. Historical August averages near 24°C provide context, but today's observed trends favor the upper end of the narrow range without crossing into stronger warming patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
27°C 42%
26°C 38%
28°C 13%
25°C 9%
$12,509 Vol.
$12,509 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
38%
27°C
42%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 38%
28°C 13%
25°C 9%
$12,509 Vol.
$12,509 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
38%
27°C
42%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions in São Paulo, including mild winter radiative heating under variable high clouds and limited Atlantic moisture advection, support peak temperatures near 26–27°C, aligning with trader consensus on the day's highest reading. Urban heat island effects from the dense built environment amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C compared to rural baselines, while light easterly winds reduce mixing and allow localized warming. Model runs show minor divergence on exact timing of any clearing, with official INMET station data and short-term ensembles differentiating outcomes at the 26°C versus 27°C thresholds. Historical August averages near 24°C provide context, but today's observed trends favor the upper end of the narrow range without crossing into stronger warming patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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