Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models project daytime highs of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5, 2026, with dense cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall expected to limit solar heating and suppress peaks. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 6–11 m/s and high humidity further moderate temperatures, consistent with an autumnal transition after warmer conditions the prior day. This consensus underpins the market's emphasis on 18°C (47.5% implied probability) and 17°C (26.5%), while lower odds for 19°C or 16°C reflect minor model spreads and the potential for brief clearing or heavier rain to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated observations and short-term model runs will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
18°C 49%
17°C 27%
19°C 18%
16°C 6%
$14,805 Vol.
$14,805 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C
18%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
17°C 27%
19°C 18%
16°C 6%
$14,805 Vol.
$14,805 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$509 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,648 Vol.
1%
16°C
$4,490 Vol.
6%
17°C
$762 Vol.
27%
18°C
$2,424 Vol.
49%
19°C
$2,605 Vol.
18%
20°C
$646 Vol.
2%
21°C
$459 Vol.
1%
22°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models project daytime highs of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5, 2026, with dense cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall expected to limit solar heating and suppress peaks. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 6–11 m/s and high humidity further moderate temperatures, consistent with an autumnal transition after warmer conditions the prior day. This consensus underpins the market's emphasis on 18°C (47.5% implied probability) and 17°C (26.5%), while lower odds for 19°C or 16°C reflect minor model spreads and the potential for brief clearing or heavier rain to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated observations and short-term model runs will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,805Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models project daytime highs of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5, 2026, with dense cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall expected to limit solar heating and suppress peaks. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 6–11 m/s and high humidity further moderate temperatures, consistent with an autumnal transition after warmer conditions the prior day. This consensus underpins the market's emphasis on 18°C (47.5% implied probability) and 17°C (26.5%), while lower odds for 19°C or 16°C reflect minor model spreads and the potential for brief clearing or heavier rain to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated observations and short-term model runs will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,805Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models project daytime highs of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5, 2026, with dense cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall expected to limit solar heating and suppress peaks. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 6–11 m/s and high humidity further moderate temperatures, consistent with an autumnal transition after warmer conditions the prior day. This consensus underpins the market's emphasis on 18°C (47.5% implied probability) and 17°C (26.5%), while lower odds for 19°C or 16°C reflect minor model spreads and the potential for brief clearing or heavier rain to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated observations and short-term model runs will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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