Recent official forecasts from meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 1 high will most likely fall between 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This range reflects seasonal norms for early August, when average daily maxima reach about 23–24°C amid declining solar angles and typical mid-latitude circulation patterns. Current model consensus points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and no strong advection of warmer air masses, limiting upside potential above 29°C while making sub-25°C outcomes unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance and observational data through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution based on official station measurements.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
27°C 55%
28°C 21%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
$23,616 Vol.
$23,616 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
15%
27°C
55%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 55%
28°C 21%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
$23,616 Vol.
$23,616 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
15%
27°C
55%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 1 high will most likely fall between 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This range reflects seasonal norms for early August, when average daily maxima reach about 23–24°C amid declining solar angles and typical mid-latitude circulation patterns. Current model consensus points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and no strong advection of warmer air masses, limiting upside potential above 29°C while making sub-25°C outcomes unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance and observational data through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution based on official station measurements.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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