Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a warm air mass advecting into central Poland on August 1, supporting afternoon highs near 31°C, yet with moderate instability triggering thundershowers that could limit peak readings through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty between 30–32°C drives the tightly bunched market-implied odds, as convective timing and cloud cover remain key variables in short-range guidance. Above the 26°C August climatological average, the setup reflects typical late-summer patterns where brief storms introduce 1–2°C variability in observed maxima. Updated model runs later today will refine resolution criteria for the daily high measured at official Warsaw stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 16%
BAGO
$23,515 Vol.
BAGO
$23,515 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
20%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 16%
BAGO
$23,515 Vol.
BAGO
$23,515 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$3,149 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,817 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,885 Vol.
16%
31°C
$2,971 Vol.
28%
32°C
$4,253 Vol.
25%
33°C
$2,382 Vol.
20%
34°C
$1,324 Vol.
6%
35°C
$669 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$547 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a warm air mass advecting into central Poland on August 1, supporting afternoon highs near 31°C, yet with moderate instability triggering thundershowers that could limit peak readings through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty between 30–32°C drives the tightly bunched market-implied odds, as convective timing and cloud cover remain key variables in short-range guidance. Above the 26°C August climatological average, the setup reflects typical late-summer patterns where brief storms introduce 1–2°C variability in observed maxima. Updated model runs later today will refine resolution criteria for the daily high measured at official Warsaw stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$23,515Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a warm air mass advecting into central Poland on August 1, supporting afternoon highs near 31°C, yet with moderate instability triggering thundershowers that could limit peak readings through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty between 30–32°C drives the tightly bunched market-implied odds, as convective timing and cloud cover remain key variables in short-range guidance. Above the 26°C August climatological average, the setup reflects typical late-summer patterns where brief storms introduce 1–2°C variability in observed maxima. Updated model runs later today will refine resolution criteria for the daily high measured at official Warsaw stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,515Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a warm air mass advecting into central Poland on August 1, supporting afternoon highs near 31°C, yet with moderate instability triggering thundershowers that could limit peak readings through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty between 30–32°C drives the tightly bunched market-implied odds, as convective timing and cloud cover remain key variables in short-range guidance. Above the 26°C August climatological average, the setup reflects typical late-summer patterns where brief storms introduce 1–2°C variability in observed maxima. Updated model runs later today will refine resolution criteria for the daily high measured at official Warsaw stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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