Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City highs on September 15 will likely reach 22–24°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly winds typical of the rainy season. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation caps daytime maxima even under clearer skies, while September’s average high of 23–24°C and frequent afternoon showers further constrain warming. Current consensus from ensemble runs shows limited potential for stronger insolation or drier air that could push readings to 25°C or above. Market-implied odds align with this pattern, placing the highest weight on 24°C while reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 15?
24°C 42%
25°C 32%
23°C 21%
26°C 15%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
21%
24°C
42%
25°C
32%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
15%
24°C 42%
25°C 32%
23°C 21%
26°C 15%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
21%
24°C
42%
25°C
32%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City highs on September 15 will likely reach 22–24°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly winds typical of the rainy season. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation caps daytime maxima even under clearer skies, while September’s average high of 23–24°C and frequent afternoon showers further constrain warming. Current consensus from ensemble runs shows limited potential for stronger insolation or drier air that could push readings to 25°C or above. Market-implied odds align with this pattern, placing the highest weight on 24°C while reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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