Current forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service position Mexico City’s August 13 maximum near 25–26°C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. At the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, the peak of the rainy season brings afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers that routinely limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Long-term August climatology shows average highs around 24°C, with recent observations fluctuating 23–26°C due to variable moisture and thunderstorm timing. Model runs differ modestly on exact cloud cover and precipitation onset, creating the close 36%–31% implied probabilities for 25°C versus 26°C while lower and higher thresholds remain less likely.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 13?
25°C 35%
26°C 33%
24°C 19%
27°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
19%
25°C
35%
26°C
33%
27°C
14%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 35%
26°C 33%
24°C 19%
27°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
19°C or below
$62 Vol.
1%
20°C
$42 Vol.
1%
21°C
$42 Vol.
3%
22°C
$28 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$88 Vol.
35%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$28 Vol.
6%
29°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service position Mexico City’s August 13 maximum near 25–26°C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. At the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, the peak of the rainy season brings afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers that routinely limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Long-term August climatology shows average highs around 24°C, with recent observations fluctuating 23–26°C due to variable moisture and thunderstorm timing. Model runs differ modestly on exact cloud cover and precipitation onset, creating the close 36%–31% implied probabilities for 25°C versus 26°C while lower and higher thresholds remain less likely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$306Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service position Mexico City’s August 13 maximum near 25–26°C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. At the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, the peak of the rainy season brings afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers that routinely limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Long-term August climatology shows average highs around 24°C, with recent observations fluctuating 23–26°C due to variable moisture and thunderstorm timing. Model runs differ modestly on exact cloud cover and precipitation onset, creating the close 36%–31% implied probabilities for 25°C versus 26°C while lower and higher thresholds remain less likely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$306Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service position Mexico City’s August 13 maximum near 25–26°C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. At the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, the peak of the rainy season brings afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers that routinely limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Long-term August climatology shows average highs around 24°C, with recent observations fluctuating 23–26°C due to variable moisture and thunderstorm timing. Model runs differ modestly on exact cloud cover and precipitation onset, creating the close 36%–31% implied probabilities for 25°C versus 26°C while lower and higher thresholds remain less likely.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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