The closely matched market odds between 30°C (40.5%) and 31°C (38.5%) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty under the ongoing southwest monsoon, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and thundershowers across Metro Manila through August 13. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a daytime maximum of 30°C with a 60–100% rain chance, consistent with regional model consensus that limits solar heating and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal August average of 30–31°C. Recent monsoon intensification over Luzon has already suppressed highs in preceding days, making a 29°C outcome plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or is more persistent, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow scientific window between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity tomorrow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 13?
31°C 43%
30°C 40%
29°C 10%
32°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
40%
31°C
43%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 40%
29°C 10%
32°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
$198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$226 Vol.
1%
28°C
$354 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,161 Vol.
10%
30°C
$711 Vol.
40%
31°C
$956 Vol.
43%
32°C
$523 Vol.
5%
33°C
$754 Vol.
2%
34°C
$288 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds between 30°C (40.5%) and 31°C (38.5%) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty under the ongoing southwest monsoon, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and thundershowers across Metro Manila through August 13. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a daytime maximum of 30°C with a 60–100% rain chance, consistent with regional model consensus that limits solar heating and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal August average of 30–31°C. Recent monsoon intensification over Luzon has already suppressed highs in preceding days, making a 29°C outcome plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or is more persistent, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow scientific window between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity tomorrow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,727Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds between 30°C (40.5%) and 31°C (38.5%) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty under the ongoing southwest monsoon, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and thundershowers across Metro Manila through August 13. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a daytime maximum of 30°C with a 60–100% rain chance, consistent with regional model consensus that limits solar heating and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal August average of 30–31°C. Recent monsoon intensification over Luzon has already suppressed highs in preceding days, making a 29°C outcome plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or is more persistent, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow scientific window between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity tomorrow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,727Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds between 30°C (40.5%) and 31°C (38.5%) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty under the ongoing southwest monsoon, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy showers, and thundershowers across Metro Manila through August 13. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a daytime maximum of 30°C with a 60–100% rain chance, consistent with regional model consensus that limits solar heating and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal August average of 30–31°C. Recent monsoon intensification over Luzon has already suppressed highs in preceding days, making a 29°C outcome plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or is more persistent, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow scientific window between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity tomorrow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong