Trader sentiment for Manila’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered rain or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA, which typically caps daytime peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current outlooks point to 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet frequent showers can shave 2–3 °C off the maximum by limiting solar insolation. A strengthening El Niño background may favor slightly drier conditions overall, but localized convection remains the dominant near-term variable. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours; updated model runs and official bulletins will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 4?
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
12%
28°C
32%
29°C
30%
30°C
19%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
2%
26°C
$3 Vol.
9%
27°C
$80 Vol.
12%
28°C
$85 Vol.
32%
29°C
$40 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1 Vol.
19%
31°C
$5 Vol.
9%
32°C
$20 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$52 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered rain or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA, which typically caps daytime peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current outlooks point to 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet frequent showers can shave 2–3 °C off the maximum by limiting solar insolation. A strengthening El Niño background may favor slightly drier conditions overall, but localized convection remains the dominant near-term variable. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours; updated model runs and official bulletins will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$387Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered rain or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA, which typically caps daytime peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current outlooks point to 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet frequent showers can shave 2–3 °C off the maximum by limiting solar insolation. A strengthening El Niño background may favor slightly drier conditions overall, but localized convection remains the dominant near-term variable. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours; updated model runs and official bulletins will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$387Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Manila’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered rain or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA, which typically caps daytime peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current outlooks point to 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet frequent showers can shave 2–3 °C off the maximum by limiting solar insolation. A strengthening El Niño background may favor slightly drier conditions overall, but localized convection remains the dominant near-term variable. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours; updated model runs and official bulletins will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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