Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Busan on August 2?
37°C 37%
36°C or below 33%
38°C 22%
39°C 11%
$29,160 Vol.
$29,160 Vol.
36°C or below
33%
37°C
37%
38°C
22%
39°C
11%
40°C
<1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
36°C or below 33%
38°C 22%
39°C 11%
$29,160 Vol.
$29,160 Vol.
36°C or below
33%
37°C
37%
38°C
22%
39°C
11%
40°C
<1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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