Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Karachi on August 24, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and moderate southwest winds that limit surface heating and promote high humidity. These conditions align with recent observations of partly cloudy skies, light drizzle episodes, and daytime highs near 30–32°C, which have suppressed temperatures below seasonal peaks. Trader positioning favors 33°C as the leading outcome because ensemble forecasts show limited variability in peak values, with only modest upside risk to 34°C if skies clear more than expected. Updated model runs and official PMD briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
33°C 48%
32°C 33%
34°C 11%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
33%
33°C
48%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 48%
32°C 33%
34°C 11%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
33%
33°C
48%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Karachi on August 24, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and moderate southwest winds that limit surface heating and promote high humidity. These conditions align with recent observations of partly cloudy skies, light drizzle episodes, and daytime highs near 30–32°C, which have suppressed temperatures below seasonal peaks. Trader positioning favors 33°C as the leading outcome because ensemble forecasts show limited variability in peak values, with only modest upside risk to 34°C if skies clear more than expected. Updated model runs and official PMD briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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